How Much Time Do You have Left?

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Did you ever wonder how many more years you have in your life? Is there an objective measure of what your risk of dying depends on your medical problems?

Actually, there is. Eprognosis.ucsf.edu is a website where you can put your data.  Then it will tell you your mortality risk either for the next year or the next 4-14 years.

Eprognosis is used by physicians to give them an idea of how long their patients will live. The information is relayed to the patients to provide reasonable expectations of care.

That way they understand their own illness, what the future holds and make plans and allow them to participate in their health care decisions.

According to its website,

ePrognosis was created with the support of the Division of Geriatrics at the University of California San Francisco.

Risk calculators cannot predict the future for any one individual. Risk calculators give an estimate of how many people with similar risk factors will live and die, but they cannot identify who will live and who will die.

Anyone can do it! You can do it for yourself, your patients, your family but not your pets. It takes less than a minute to do it. Best of all, it’s free!

Steps on How to know your prognosis

  1. Click on Eprognosis.ucsf.edu
  2. At its landing page, click on the Calculators Button on the left.

  1. Then it will ask, Where is your Patient?

  1. Then it will ask you where you are and the time frame that you want. It will also ask you if you have the following:
  • Metastatic cancer
  • Congestive Heart Failure
  • Renal Failure
  • Weight loss
  • Paralysis of one side of the body or hemiplegia
  • Alcohol abuse
  • Any tumor, including leukemia and lymphoma
  • Abnormal heart rhythms of cardiac arrythmias
  • Chronic pulmonary diseases like emphysema
  • Coagulopathy or tendency to develop abnormal blood clots
  • Complicated Diabetes. Examples Any conditions like kidney failure, blindness, heart disease that is related to diabetes
  • Anemia due to deficiency of Iron, Vitamin B-12, and Folate
  • Fluid and electrolyte disorders like low potassium, sodium, or magnesium
  • Liver disease – hepatitis or cirrhosis
  • Peripheral vascular disease – most common will be a partial blockage to the arteries of the legs
  • Psychosis
  • Pulmonary circulation disorders like pulmonary hypertension
  • HIV/AIDS
  • Hypertension both complicated and uncomplicated
  1. It will ask you your best guess of your mortality.

  2. Then just click on the red Calculate risk button at the bottom, and it will bring you to the next page that shows your mortality risk.

I did mine and my risk of dying in 1 year from all-cause is 2.4%.

Why am I showing you the eprognosis website?

It is because most of the conditions listed that increases your risk of dying are preventable and can be modified by lifestyle changes.

They are diabetes, hypertension, peripheral vascular disease, renal failure, paralysis from stroke, cardiac arrhythmias, liver failure, and many others.

Other conditions like psychosis and tumors may not necessarily be from lifestyle, but the treatment outcome is much better if the other medical conditions are under control.

What are the 10 Things You Can Do to Live longer?

  1. Start or continue an exercise program.
  2. Eat moderately with lots of veggies or try intermittent fasting
  3. Have a monogamous heterosexual lifestyle. – Prevents HIV, AIDS, and sexually transmitted viral hepatitis
  4. Don’t smoke or quit smoking
  5. Don’t abuse alcohol. 1-2 drinks are OK for men—only 1 for the ladies.
  6. Avoid junk foods: too much trans fats and preservatives. There’s a reason they are called junk food.
  7. Don’t do drugs.
  8. Take time to relax and meditate. Don’t worry about things you cannot do anything about.
  9. Sleep well. Aim for 7-8 hours of sleep.
  10. Subscribe to this website.

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Don’t Get Sick!

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