Risk-benefit analysis shows a higher risk of COVID vax death than COVID-19 disease for those under 80 years old

Decisions about taking medications, including vaccines, should include a risk-benefit analysis. Will I have more significant benefits from getting the vaccine (prevent death from COVID-19), or will I die from it?

Death is the most significant endpoint, and it is not easily confounded by bias. Vaccine studies usually use other endpoints like “preventing severe disease” or the presence of neutralizing antibodies which is only a fraction of the immune response.

Furthermore, numbers about Relative Risk Reduction (RRR) are what vaccine manufacturers give to the media to report because the RRR numbers tend to be higher and more convincing. In the book Smart Health Choices: Making Sense of Health Advice,

Relative risk reduction (RRR) tells you by how much the treatment reduced the risk of bad outcomes relative to the control group who did not have the treatment.

A better measure of drug or vaccine effectiveness for the patients is Absolute Risk Reduction. The absolute risk reduction is the total reduction in risk that results from choosing a given treatment.

Number Needed to Treat (NNT) is another measure of drug or vaccine effectiveness that the public should know. NNT says how many people need to get treatment so that one person will benefit. Ideally, it should be one.

In a new study by Kathy Dopp and Stephanie Seneff, [1] they used Absolute Risk Reduction, Numbers Needed to Treat, and compared the number of people who died after getting the COVID shots and those who died from COVID-19. They grouped by ages to identify what specific age group would benefit or get harmed from the COVID shots.

Here are the conclusions with emphasis added

When COVID-19 death data by vaccination status from early 2022 are analyzed to estimate the degree of protection from mortality afforded to the vaccinated population, the protection from COVID-19 death falls far short of the risk of dying from the vaccine, for anyone below 50 years old.

According to the data analysis presented in this paper, all age cohorts under 50 years old are at greater risk (from 5 to 51 times higher) of vaccine-induced fatality within the same or subsequent month of receiving a COVID-19 inoculation than they are at risk of a COVID-19 death within 60 days of a positive test if unvaccinated.

All age cohorts have less than ¼ of 1% benefit of absolute risk reduction of a COVID-19 death from receiving a COVID-19 inoculation.

Children under age 18 years have 51 times higher chance of fatality after a COVID inoculation than risk of dying from COVID if unvaccinated.

Vaccinations in the under 18 age group are more likely to increase the number of COVID deaths in this age group rather than prevent any.

Young adults age 18 to 29 have an 8 times higher risk of fatality from the inoculation than from COVID if not inoculated.

They added that we are not yet seeing all the COVID shots’ harms since some adverse effects are yet to happen.

This analysis is conservative because it ignores the inoculation-induced risk increases of later fatalities and shortened life spans from thrombosis, myocarditis, Bell’s palsy, and other known vaccine-induced injuries and ignores the 90% or more decreases in risk of COVID-19 death if early, effective treatments were provided to all symptomatic high-risk persons.

The table below summarizes their findings. The first column on your left shows the number of death from COVID-19 by age.

The second column is the Vaccine Fatality Rate and answers the question, What is the risk of dying from the COVID shot?

The third column, COVID-19 risk of deaths among the unvaccinated, tells us the risk of dying from COVID-19 if someone doesn’t get the shot.

The Vaccine Absolute Risk Reduction on the fourth column shows how effectively the shots reduce COVID-19 death risk. The fourth column’s Number Needed to Treat (NNT) makes the Absolute Risk Reduction results more relatable. For the 18 to 29 years old, only one COVID-19 death will be prevented among 318,497 vaxxed people.

The seventh column shows the Expected number of vaccine fatalities compared to COVID fatalities, and finally, the Risk-Benefit Ratio against death from the COVID shots. There is more risk than benefit among the 59 and below age groups from the COVID shots.

The paper presents another way to read the table. I added emphasis.

For those under age 18, vaccination increases their COVID death rate, and those under 18 are 51 times more likely to die from the inoculation than to die from COVID if not vaccinated.

Those aged 18 to 29, are 16 times more likely to die from COVID vaccination than to prevent one COVID death and are 8 times more likely to die from vaccination than to die from COVID if not vaccinated.

Those aged 30 to 39, are 15 times more likely to die from COVID inoculation than to prevent one COVID death, and 7 times more likely to die from the inoculation than to die from COVID COVID if not vaccinated.

Those aged 40 to 49, are 9 times more likely to die from the COVID inoculation than likely to prevent one COVID death in this age group, and 5 times more likely to die from the inoculation than to die from COVID if not vaccinated.

Those aged 50 to 59, are twice (2 times) more likely to die from the COVID inoculation than to prevent one COVID death and are slightly more likely to die from the inoculation than to die from COVID if not vaccinated.

Those aged 60 to 79, are virtually equally likely to die from the COVID inoculation as to prevent one COVID death or die from COVID if not vaccinated.

Those aged 80+ are 0.13% less likely to die from the COVID inoculation than to die from COVID if not vaccinated.

In summary

All age groups under 50 years old are at greater risk of fatality after receiving a COVID-19 inoculation than an unvaccinated person is at risk of a COVID-19 death. All age groups under 80 years old have virtually no benefit from receiving a COVID-19 inoculation, and the younger ages incur significant risk.

When one takes into consideration the fact that there is approximately a 90% decrease in risk of COVID-19 death if early treatment is provided to all symptomatic high-risk persons, one can only conclude that mandates of COVID-19 inoculations are ill-advised.

The articles below are about the Absolute Risk Reduction of the shots and the excess deaths related to the experimental gene therapy shots given as COVID-19 “vaccines.”

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References:

Kathy Dopp, Stephanie Seneff. COVID-19 and All-Cause Mortality Data by Age Group Reveal Risk of COVID Vaccine-Induced Fatality is Equal to or Greater than the Risk of a COVID death for all Age Groups Under 80 Years Old as of 6 February 2022. [v1] 2022-02-13 23:24:08. https://www.vixra.org/abs/2202.0084

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3 Replies to “Risk-benefit analysis shows a higher risk of COVID vax death than COVID-19 disease for those under 80 years old”

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March 2, 2022 at 2:59 pm

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